智通财经APP获悉,美国银行的数据显示,标普500指数上周在美国大选后的第二天飙升了2.5%,根据历史经验,这可能导致该股指在未来两周上涨近5%。而自选举后至本周一的交易时段来看,该指数已上涨了1.2%。
标普500指数在特朗普赢得总统大选后继续走高,周一首次收于6000点上方。美国银行股票和量化策略师Ohsung Kwon在一份报告中表示:“不要与行情抗争。”“在之前的选举周期中,当选举后首日上涨时,股市在接下来的两周内的回报率100%是正的。”
与此同时,十年期美债收益率和三十年期美债收益率已大幅回落至大选前的水平,这缓解了股市的一个关键担忧,“至少目前如此”。但从长期来看,影响可能更加微妙。Ohsung Kwon表示:“选举带来的事件不确定性已经消除,但政策的不确定性应该仍然很高。”
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