港股异动 | 煤炭股集体走低 机构称动力煤价下跌空间有限 双焦或维持窄幅震荡

智通财经
11 Nov 2024

智通财经APP获悉,煤炭股集体走低,截至发稿,蒙古能源(00276)跌9.59%,报0.66港元;蒙古焦煤(00975)跌5.61%,报8.58港元;兖矿能源(01171)跌4.21%,报9.79港元;中煤能源(01898)跌2.62%,报9.29港元;中国神华(01088)跌2.24%,报32.75港元。

海通国际发布研报称,本周电厂日耗环比有所提升,但全国气温较同期偏暖,因此提升有限,但随着气温逐步下降,需求即将进入用煤高峰,预计动力煤价短期虽有震荡但下跌空间或有限。后续仍需继续关注经济复苏及宏观政策带动需求实际释放情况。关注安监对主产区产量影响情况。

该行指出,铁水产量维稳,刚需仍有支撑,但考虑下游需求即将进入淡季,焦炭短期或承压,但跌幅有限。焦煤方面,受下游采购节奏放缓及生产供应相对充足影响,焦煤价格继续回落,短期或仍窄幅震荡。但中期看,考虑到焦煤下游库存持续低位,若需求边际出现改善或供给端出现事件性因素弹性可期,后期需关注产业链终端需求情况及钢厂补库进度。

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