California Resources' (NYSE:CRC) Earnings Might Be Weaker Than You Think

Simply Wall St.
13 Nov 2024

Following the release of a positive earnings report recently, California Resources Corporation's (NYSE:CRC) stock performed well. However, we think that investors should be cautious when interpreting the profit numbers.

See our latest analysis for California Resources

NYSE:CRC Earnings and Revenue History November 13th 2024

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. California Resources expanded the number of shares on issue by 34% over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of California Resources' EPS by clicking here.

How Is Dilution Impacting California Resources' Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

California Resources' net profit dropped by 85% per year over the last three years. On the bright side, in the last twelve months it grew profit by 16%. But EPS was less impressive, up only 11% in that time. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is having a rather significant impact on shareholders.

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So California Resources shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted California Resources' net profit by US$425m over the last year. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that California Resources' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Our Take On California Resources' Profit Performance

In its last report California Resources benefitted from unusual items which boosted its profit, which could make the profit seem better than it really is on a sustainable basis. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at California Resources' statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you'd like to know more about California Resources as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with California Resources (including 1 which is concerning).

Our examination of California Resources has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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