【机构：美国通胀导致实际零售销售额偏离周期高点】金十数据11月15日讯，美国商务部最新数据显示，在截至10月份的12个月中，美国零售销售额的名义增幅超过2.8%。但根据SMBC日兴证券美洲公司经济学家Troy Ludtka的计算，从宏观上看，通胀实际上降低了零售支出的实际价值，使其偏离了周期性高点。根据Ludtka的计算，自2021年4月的周期性高点以来，实际零售额已经萎缩了2.4%，并且在过去两年的大部分时间里一直停滞在这一水平附近。Ludtka写道：“这一点尤其值得注意，因为实际零售额的历史峰值往往在衰退之前出现。”
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