We Think Rapid7's (NASDAQ:RPD) Robust Earnings Are Conservative

Simply Wall St.
15 Nov 2024

Even though Rapid7, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RPD) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.

See our latest analysis for Rapid7

NasdaqGM:RPD Earnings and Revenue History November 15th 2024

Zooming In On Rapid7's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Rapid7 has an accrual ratio of -0.23 for the year to September 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$155m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of US$47.1m. Rapid7's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Rapid7's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Rapid7 produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Rapid7's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And it's also positive that the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Rapid7 as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Rapid7 you should be mindful of and 2 of these can't be ignored.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Rapid7's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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