Even though DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:DOCN ) posted strong earnings, investors appeared to be underwhelmed. Our analysis says that investors should be optimistic, as the strong profit is built on solid foundations.
View our latest analysis for DigitalOcean Holdings
To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, DigitalOcean Holdings increased the number of shares on issue by 7.3% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out DigitalOcean Holdings' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
DigitalOcean Holdings was losing money three years ago. Zooming in to the last year, we still can't talk about growth rates coherently, since it made a loss last year. But mathematics aside, it is always good to see when a formerly unprofitable business come good (though we accept profit would have been higher if dilution had not been required). So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.
In the long term, if DigitalOcean Holdings' earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that DigitalOcean Holdings' profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by US$39m in the last twelve months. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If DigitalOcean Holdings doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.
DigitalOcean Holdings suffered from unusual items which depressed its profit in its last report; if that is not repeated then profit should be higher, all else being equal. But unfortunately the dilution means that shareholders now own a smaller proportion of the company (assuming they maintained the same number of shares). That will weigh on earnings per share, even if it is not reflected in net income. Based on these factors, we think that DigitalOcean Holdings' profits are a reasonably conservative guide to its underlying profitability. If you want to do dive deeper into DigitalOcean Holdings, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, we've found that DigitalOcean Holdings has 4 warning signs (2 are concerning!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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