智通财经APP获悉,水泥股午后普跌,截至发稿,中国建材(03323)跌4.76%,报3.2港元;西部水泥(02233)跌3.01%,报1.29港元;海螺水泥(00914)跌2.8%,报20.85港元;华润建材科技(01313)跌2.55%,报1.91港元。
消息面上,今年前三季度,受房地产投资低迷、基建投资增速持续放缓影响,水泥产量再创新低。据国家统计局数据,2024年1-9月,全国房屋新开工面积同比下降22.2%,其中,住宅新开工面积下降22.4%;全国基础设施投资(不含电力)同比增长4.1%,较去年同期下降2.1个百分点;全国规模以上企业累计水泥产量为13.27亿吨,同比下降10.71%(按可比口径计算),创下自2010年以来同期最低值。
汇丰研究发布研报指出,内地水泥价格持续受到供应方面控制以及季节性需求改善而上升,而新的产能替代规例为多余的生产订下更严厉的限制,将有助行业加速整合。该行预计水泥需求将继续下降,然而,供应方面出现了积极而且可持续的变化,主要由于行业参与者愿意合作以维持合理的毛利,这将为2024年第四季和2025年带来盈利向上,以及预计将会有更多政府主导的供应控制政策出炉。
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