【宏观情绪转弱 EC暂无趋势性方向】金十期货11月14日讯,周四集运欧线宽幅震荡,主力EC2502收盘价较上一交易日下跌2.67%,远月合约跌幅靠前。各大主流船司十二月线上报价拉扯盘面预期,短期现货价格暂无明显多空驱动,周四下午欧线盘面跟随宏观商品情绪同步走弱,主力EC2502尾盘多头继续减仓,多空资金在3000~3200点区间反复博弈,考虑到现货指数仍处于上行通道,船司提价步伐未止,暂时并未出现趋势性拐点,使得近月多头资金仍有韧性。远月合约在连续两天反弹后明显受到上方均线压制,贸易壁垒叠加红海复航预期并未反转,向上继续突破可能性较低。技术方面,主力EC2502合约在昨日缩量略涨后小幅高开,周四勉强收于十日均线上方,虽然盘面并未实质上跌破线上报价换算点位,但逐渐感觉多头资金对船司控舱挺价行为有所钝化,如果后续实际提价不及预期,关注能否对11月7日的阳线成功反包,目前看来3000点支撑较强,空头资金仍需等待明确信号。策略方面,短期宽幅震荡,可以尝试做多EC2412并做空EC2502。
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