A lackluster earnings announcement from Bruker Corporation (NASDAQ:BRKR) last week didn't sink the stock price. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.
See our latest analysis for Bruker
To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, Bruker increased the number of shares on issue by 9.5% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Bruker's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
Bruker has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 13% in that time. Net income was down 4.5% over the last twelve months. Unfortunately for shareholders, though, the earnings per share result was even worse, declining 4.9%. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.
If Bruker's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Bruker's net profit by US$28m over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).
In its last report Bruker benefitted from unusual items which boosted its profit, which could make the profit seem better than it really is on a sustainable basis. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Bruker's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Bruker at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Bruker you should be mindful of and 1 of these bad boys can't be ignored.
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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