【苯乙烯：跌后小涨，主要跟随原料端波动】金十期货11月14日讯，本周苯乙烯价格下跌后小涨，截至11月13日江苏市场收盘均价在8775元/吨，较上周三下跌100元/吨，跌幅1.13%。1. 成本：本周市场权衡美国当选总统特朗普即将上任的形势下的能源需求及美原油产量前景，国际油价跌多涨少，截至11月13日收盘，布伦特油价环比上周均价下跌1.69%；纯苯方面前期港口累库预期施压价格下行，但周三库存数据未增反降，市场活跃度回升支撑价格小幅反弹，截至11月13日华东市场收盘均价环比上周三下跌1.85%。原料端弱势施压苯乙烯价格。2. 供需：周后期中海壳牌乙烯装置急停，苯乙烯装置或受影响降负，截至发稿降负消息暂未落实，但利好市场情绪；华东主港随着进口到船以及周边车、船货到港，库存环比增加28.12%。主力下游三S产量继续增加，需求端利好市场价格。3. 预测：原油短期无主流矛盾，单边行情延续性不强，或维持区间震荡，纯苯大概率跟随波动；苯乙烯基本面看，装置检修消息市场基本已经完成交易，而港口下周到货预期增多，利空华东现货价格；当前主力下游需求尚存支撑。基本面多空博弈，短期市场或延续震荡行情。
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