金吾财讯 | 国元国际认为，近期港股表现内外承压，一方面，市场表现面临着基本面数据不及预期及资金风险偏好降低的压力。但另一方面，政策组合拳及专项债发行加速有望拉动经济温和修复，因此当前港股处于震荡格局，且短期难脱震荡行情，可关注高分红、政策支持及互联网龙头等具比较优势的结构性板块。美股市场方面，市盈率和市值水平已达历史高位，市场担忧未来业绩增长难支撑现有估值。一旦增速放缓，二级市场表现压力下行较大。展望未来，在全球经济回暖及融资成本下降背景下，四季度全球经济增速将保持稳定，对互联网IT服务需求同样能够维持，业绩预期达标概率较大，因此股权市场近期将可能以震荡波动为主。该行建议关注阅文集团(00772)、赤子城科技(09911)、腾讯(00700)、金蝶国际(00268)，美股建议关注AI及消费复苏相关标的，包括谷歌(GOOGL.US)、微软(MSFT.US)、亚马逊(AMZN.US)缤客(BKNG.US)、Spotify(SPOT.US)、亚马逊(AMZN.US)。
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