港股异动 | 光伏股多数上扬 出口退税率调降有望利好光伏长期发展 行业拐点信号显现

智通财经
19 Nov 2024

智通财经APP获悉,光伏股多数上扬,截至发稿,福莱特玻璃(06865)涨3.99%,报13.04港元;信义光能(00968)涨3.77%,报3.3港元;新特能源(01799)涨2.64%,报8.54港元;协鑫科技(03800)涨2.13%,报1.44港元。

消息面上,11月15日,财政部、税务总局下发《关于调整出口退税政策的公告》,提出自2024年12月1日起,将包含光伏(电池、组件)在内的部分产品出口退税率由13%下调至9%。中信证券认为,光伏出口退税率调降,虽然短期或对厂商盈利造成脉冲式冲击,但实质影响较小,且头部厂商有较强能力推动产品向下游顺价,实现国际市场光伏产品价格回稳,避免内卷外化,加快行业落后产能出清,实现高质量发展,利好龙头强化长期优势。

海通国际指出,选取52家光伏企业为样本,2024年Q2、Q3板块合计归母净利润分别为-28.11亿元、6.69亿元,Q3出现环比改善;根据Infolink Consulting多晶硅价格也在Q2开始止跌企稳。从企业利润和产业链价格变化趋势综合来看,行业自22Q3开始进入下行周期,24Q2、24Q3行业来到底部周期。汇丰研究发表报告指出,太阳能行业的最差时期已大致过去,当中看好协鑫及福莱特的市场领导地位。

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