智通财经APP获悉,水泥股涨幅居前,截至发稿,中国建材(03323)涨7.96%,报3.39港元;金隅集团(02009)涨6.33%,报0.84港元;海螺水泥(00914)涨5.35%,报21.65港元;华新水泥(06655)涨3.31%,报7.8港元;西部水泥(02233)涨3.13%,报1.32港元。
消息面上,国家统计局数据显示,10月水泥产量为1.75亿吨,同比下降7.9%;1-10月水泥产量为15.01亿吨,同比下降10.3%,降幅较1-9月收窄0.4pct。据数字水泥网,10月水泥均价为412元/吨,环比增长5.9%,同比增长11.0%。
天风证券指出,当前A股主要水泥公司平均PB仅0.73倍,位于2015年以来5.3%分位数水平,而Q3单季度ROE处于15年以来28%分位数,港股水泥公司平均PB仅0.38倍,位于2015年以来8.8%分位数水平,Q3单季度ROE处于15年以来15%分位数水平,从过去来看,水泥公司ROE和PB相关性较强,PB是未来ROE变动的领先指标,随着四季度水泥价格触底回升,ROE有望出现向上拐点,带动PB向上恢复。
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