Today is shaping up negative for Sow Good Inc. (NASDAQ:SOWG) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a substantial negative revision to next year's forecasts. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting the analysts have soured majorly on the business.
After this downgrade, Sow Good's three analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$57m in 2025. This would be a huge 42% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to jump 104% to US$0.36. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$92m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.39 in 2025. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a pretty serious reduction to revenue estimates and a large cut to earnings per share numbers as well.
See our latest analysis for Sow Good
The consensus price target fell 45% to US$13.50, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that Sow Good's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 33% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 91% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 2.7% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while Sow Good's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.
The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. While analysts did downgrade their revenue estimates, these forecasts still imply revenues will perform better than the wider market. After such a stark change in sentiment from analysts, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of Sow Good.
After a downgrade like this, it's pretty clear that previous forecasts were too optimistic. What's more, we've spotted several possible issues with Sow Good's business, like concerns around earnings quality. For more information, you can click here to discover this and the 1 other concern we've identified.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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