【邱晓华:预计四季度经济增长有可能达到4.8%,甚至不排除接近5%】金十数据11月23日讯,“第九届复旦首席经济学家论坛”于11月23日举行。阳光保险集团首席经济学家、国家统计局原局长邱晓华出席并演讲。谈及国内宏观经济政策,邱晓华表示,日前出台的一揽子增量政策有力提振了市场信心,打破了资产价格下跌的螺旋。“政策组合拳释放了强有力的救股市、稳地产、促消费,进而稳增长的信号,着力提振了市场信心”,在其看来,这些政策从细水慢流的结构性稳增长政策转到了总量性放松、全局性刺激政策,使得市场预期有所改善,市场信心有所提升。“我相信四季度在整个政策到位之后一定会产生积极的效应”,邱晓华说,第四季度中国经济有可能结束下行趋势,转为稳定中略有上升的趋势。“初步估计四季度中国经济增长将有可能达到4.8%,甚至不排除接近5%”。
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