Canadian Solar (NASDAQ:CSIQ) earnings and shareholder returns have been trending downwards for the last three years, but the stock rallies 8.4% this past week

Simply Wall St.
24 Nov 2024

Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. But the long term shareholders of Canadian Solar Inc. (NASDAQ:CSIQ) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 69% drop in the share price over that period. And over the last year the share price fell 43%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 12% in the last 90 days.

While the last three years has been tough for Canadian Solar shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

See our latest analysis for Canadian Solar

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the three years that the share price fell, Canadian Solar's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 12% each year. The share price decline of 32% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

NasdaqGS:CSIQ Earnings Per Share Growth November 24th 2024

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Canadian Solar's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Canadian Solar had a tough year, with a total loss of 43%, against a market gain of about 34%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 5% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 5 warning signs we've spotted with Canadian Solar (including 2 which don't sit too well with us) .

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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