金吾财讯 | 花旗研报表示,该行与高思教育的创始团队成员进行讨论,其中提到:1)尽管之前从高峰有所收缩,但精英教育市场自2023年下半年以来显示出强劲的复苏。增长的驱动因素包括对2-3年缺乏家教后学习差距的担忧、在精英(0.3%)和高绩效(1-3%)学生段的持续需求,以及支持顶尖7%学生的“强基计划”等倡议。2)好未来(TAL)通过系统的家长教育和人才培养在高绩效学生段表现出色,而新东方(EDU)则通过在考试准备方面的运营专长在大众市场占据主导地位。3)修订后的10月行业数据显示学习设备细分市场趋势正在改善,好未来展现出强劲的增长势头。该行指,好未来的披露信息有限,这在短期内推动了其股价表现优于市场,因为投资者更看重增长潜力而非透明度。新东方的保守增长指引虽然在短期内对股价构成压力,但考虑到其在广泛的学习中心网络和系统化运营方面的核心优势仍然完好,这对于长期投资者来说可能意味着更好的风险回报比。
该行予新东方目标价83美元,予好未来目标价13.4美元,均为“买入”评级,并强调了它们在动态教育行业中的增长前景、多元化业务组合和有效的战略投资。
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