港股异动 | 啤酒股午后走低 10月规上企业啤酒产量再度转跌 政策有望刺激终端需求改善

智通财经网
28 Nov 2024

智通财经APP获悉,啤酒股午后走低,截至发稿,华润啤酒(00291)跌4.1%,报25.75港元;百威亚太(01876)跌2.12%,报7.37港元;青岛啤酒股份(00168)跌1.62%,报48.5港元。

东海证券指出,2024年10月中国规模以上企业啤酒产量180.7万千升,同比-2.3%。继9月同比转正后再次下跌,进入淡季后行业需求疲软。今年以来,受到餐饮消费偏弱,现饮消费频次减少,啤酒企业收入承压。成本方面,今年大麦等原材料成本持续下行,截至10月,进口大麦价格同比下降14%,啤酒板块盈利能力提升。在政策刺激下,啤酒现饮场景有望积极修复,行业需求有望逐步改善。长期来看啤酒行业高端化趋势不改,量稳价增趋势不变。

德邦证券指出,三季报整体业绩受需求弱复苏及天气等影响表现较承压,但全年来看预计主要啤酒企业吨价有望保持稳中有升的态势。随着刺激消费系列政策出台,终端需求有望改善,我们认为餐饮等现饮场景的恢复有望带动啤酒结构升级延续,建议关注相对稳健的优质龙头和改革势能向上标的。

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