iFast:港股或有机会下试18500点 选股策略仍以中资高息股为主

智通财经网
25 Nov 2024

智通财经APP获悉,港股近期走势受外围不确定性影响,指数跌穿2万关后未见太大起色。iFAST Global Markets投资总监温钢城预期,内地下月举行的中央经济工作会议未必有太大惊喜,美联储减息取态则会是另一个关键,指数短期可能会窄幅上落,或有机会下试18500点水平。因此选股策略仍以中资高息股为主,当中以电讯股较稳阵,因6G尚未出台,行业资本开支不高,在收入稳定的情况下可成为首选。

美联储将于12月下旬举行今年最后一次议息会议,利率期货显示,现时减息0.25%的机率为59%,跳过减息的机率则为41%,利率走向仍充满变数。

他认为,美联储减息取态会是其中一个关键,“如美联储下月跳过减息,人民币势走弱,对港股必然构成压力。此外,明年减息次数也很重要,如果明年底联邦基金利率仍处于4%水平,资金或会继续流向美国。”

此外,本地及国际银行股如汇丰(00005)及中银香港(02388)受惠美国减息步伐放慢,有利股份前景。

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