Citius Oncology, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CTOR) Path To Profitability

Simply Wall St.
28 Nov 2024

We feel now is a pretty good time to analyse Citius Oncology, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CTOR) business as it appears the company may be on the cusp of a considerable accomplishment. Citius Oncology, Inc. focuses on the development of novel targeted oncology therapies. The company’s loss has recently broadened since it announced a US$13m loss in the full financial year, compared to the latest trailing-twelve-month loss of US$20m, moving it further away from breakeven. Many investors are wondering about the rate at which Citius Oncology will turn a profit, with the big question being “when will the company breakeven?” In this article, we will touch on the expectations for the company's growth and when analysts expect it to become profitable.

See our latest analysis for Citius Oncology

Citius Oncology is bordering on breakeven, according to some American Biotechs analysts. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2026, before turning a profit of US$40m in 2027. Therefore, the company is expected to breakeven roughly 3 years from now. How fast will the company have to grow each year in order to reach the breakeven point by 2027? Working backwards from analyst estimates, it turns out that they expect the company to grow 58% year-on-year, on average, which is rather optimistic! If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.

NasdaqCM:CTOR Earnings Per Share Growth November 28th 2024

We're not going to go through company-specific developments for Citius Oncology given that this is a high-level summary, though, bear in mind that generally biotechs, depending on the stage of product development, have irregular periods of cash flow. This means that a high growth rate is not unusual, especially if the company is currently in an investment period.

One thing we’d like to point out is that Citius Oncology has no debt on its balance sheet, which is rare for a loss-making biotech, which typically has high debt relative to its equity. The company currently operates purely off its shareholder funding and has no debt obligation, reducing concerns around repayments and making it a less risky investment.

Next Steps:

This article is not intended to be a comprehensive analysis on Citius Oncology, so if you are interested in understanding the company at a deeper level, take a look at Citius Oncology's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of important aspects you should look at:

  1. Valuation: What is Citius Oncology worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Citius Oncology is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Citius Oncology’s board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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