到港大幅下降,短期矿价表现略偏强

金十财经
26 Nov 2024

【到港大幅下降,短期矿价表现略偏强】金十期货11月26日讯,1. 供应端,上周全球铁矿发运小幅增加,其中澳洲及非主流发运有所上升,但巴西发运略有下降。不过,受益前期发运回落影响,同期国内铁矿到港量明显减少,周一港口铁矿库存也有所下降。国内矿方面,因北方部分地区矿企停产检修,矿山产能利用率小幅下降,近期国内铁精粉产量略有减少。2. 需求端,上周钢联高炉开工率继续下降,但日均铁水仅微降0.14万吨至235.8万吨,同期钢厂盈利率继续下降3.03%至54.55%的水平。此外,随着北方部分高炉开始冬休,上周钢厂铁矿库存有所增加,进口矿库销比再度上升,预计短期钢厂对铁矿仍将维持按需补库节奏。昨日铁矿港口现货及远期美元货成交均有小幅上升,目前PB粉落地亏损略有扩大,显示国外需求仍强于国内。3. 综合而言,近期铁矿供减需稳,港口库存有所下降,短期矿价走势小幅震荡略偏强运行。

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