中银国际:首予华润饮料(02460)“买入”评级 目标价18.22港元

智通财经
02 Dec 2024

智通财经APP获悉,中银国际发布研究报告称,首予华润饮料(02460)“买入”评级,目标价18.22港元。公司是国内软饮料行业的领军企业之一,百亿大单品怡宝进一步全国化扩张可期。公司核心内驱力包括品牌影响力突出,产品矩阵相对完善,分销渠道掌控力强,产能优化与扩张步伐加速,以及管理层能力及定力不俗。

报告指,公司投资逻辑主要有二,包括利润率扩张,预计2024和2025年毛利率分别同比上升2.5和0.8 个百分点,饮料业务爆发力强,收入占比预计由2023年的8%翻倍提升至2026年的16%。投资人担心中国瓶装水市场价格战可能升级,未来竞争格局不够清晰,或令公司的价盘和盈利能力承压。该行认为,过度悲观情绪已反映在股价上。

中银国际预计,华润饮料2024至2026年收入同比增6.9%/11.4%/11%至144.5亿/161亿/178.7亿元人民币,净利同比增25.5%/27.7%/17.5%至16.7/21.3/25亿元人民币。

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