【券商聚焦】中信建投维持敏华控股(01999)“买入”评级 料后续以旧换新政策补贴有望带动内销终端需求改善

金吾财讯
03 Dec 2024

金吾财讯 | 中信建投发研报指,敏华控股(01999)FY25H1(自然年为24年4-9月)营收、归母净利润分别同比-7.4%、+0.3%。其中中国、北美、欧洲市场营收同比-17.2%、+5.7%、+37.7%,营收占比分别为59.9%、25.9%、8.8%。内销主要系地产竣工下行叠加消费低迷所致,期间公司内销线下渠道继续加大下沉扩张,截止9月底线下门店数7516家/净增280家;外销市场公司加强新渠道和新客户的开拓,北美稳健增长、欧洲增长显着。FY25H1公司毛利率为39.5%/+0.4pct,外销毛利率提升明显主要受益于钢材、真皮等原材料价格分别-8.3%、-5.3%。FY25H1净利率为14.38%/+1.13pct。展望后续,以旧换新政策补贴有望带动内销终端需求改善,外销出口至欧洲持续提升。该行续指,财年截至当年3月份,预计公司FY25-FY27营收分别为178.9、189.4、198.7 亿港元,分别同比-2.9%、+5.9%、+4.9%;归母净利润分别为23.4、25.2、26.8 亿港元,分别同比+1.7%、+7.5%、+6.6%;对应PE为8.0x、7.5x、7.0x。维持“买入”评级。 

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