If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at Travel + Leisure (NYSE:TNL), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Travel + Leisure:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.14 = US$749m ÷ (US$6.7b - US$1.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, Travel + Leisure has an ROCE of 14%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 8.5% generated by the Hospitality industry.
View our latest analysis for Travel + Leisure
In the above chart we have measured Travel + Leisure's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Travel + Leisure for free.
Things have been pretty stable at Travel + Leisure, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if Travel + Leisure doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time.
In summary, Travel + Leisure isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. And with the stock having returned a mere 35% in the last five years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
On a final note, we found 3 warning signs for Travel + Leisure (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
While Travel + Leisure may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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