格隆汇12月10日|道富环球投资管理亚太区投资策略及研究主管Michele Barlow预期,美国经济可望维持不俗增长,尽管“软着陆”仍是该行预测的基本情景,惟视乎新一届政府未来出台的新政策,美国经济“不着陆”发生的可能性增加。
Barlow预计美联储下周议息会议将降息25个基点,明年再进一步降息3次,每次幅度为25个基点。由于降息将利好美国经济,加上各种环球地缘政治与市场不确定性势挑起避险需求,道富预期美元转弱需时,未来3至6个月仍维持强势。
美股现时估值不低,道富来年续予其“高配”评级,除了受惠于减息前景外,亦看好美股盈利增长具支持。Barlow指出,市场目前预期美国企业明年盈利增长15%,而候任总统特朗普延长减税与放宽行业监管等潜在政策,也有望利好美股表现。
责任编辑:郭建
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