富达国际认为,美国经济不太可能维持目前的增长率,如果放缓,可能刺激美国国债市场出现实质性上涨。
“我不相信美国出现了生产力增长奇迹,会永远以3%的速度增长,”该公司的资深投资组合经理Mike Riddell表示,他将经济的超群表现归功于财政刺激。“我们原以为会更早放缓”。
“如果我们确实开始看到美国经济增长令人失望,那么就可能为债券的实质性上涨开辟道路”。
警告称如果美国数据表现意外糟糕,美国国债空头头寸可能会迅速平仓。
“当头寸如此拥挤时,就变得非常危险,”他说道。“这给我敲响了警钟”。
责任编辑:王许宁
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