【汇丰:降港交所明后年日均成交预测目标价降2.4%至373港元】金十数据12月9日讯,汇丰环球研究发表报告,将香港交易所(00388.HK)目标价从382港元下调2.4%至373港元,并维持“买入”评级。该行调高港交所2024年盈测1.7%,调低2025及2026年盈测3.5%及1.5%,主要因为调整日均成交预测,今年预测微升至1300亿元,2025及2026年预测降至1580亿元及1740亿元,港交所市价处预期市盈率为28.9倍,较长期平均低0.6个标准差。报告指,近期客户对港交所的回馈表明,人们对全球贸易、地缘政治风险的担忧加剧,以及对美元和港元减息预期减弱,但A股日均成交额(ADT)仍处于较高水平,部分反映了境内资本市场情绪的韧性。人民币存款和银行间利率呈下降趋势,可能支撑风险偏好。A-H股溢价也远高于长期平均水平,显示H股的相对估值吸引力。
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