荷兰国际:英国就业市场降温 央行或维持利率不变至明年2月

金吾财讯
13 Dec 2024

金吾财讯 | 荷兰国际银行指出,多项指标表明,今年英国雇主的招聘热情显著降低。从工资数据来看,自2023年末起,除了政府部门外,英国的就业人数减少了近1%。该银行预计,这种趋势可能会延续至2025年,而最近对雇主增税的政策可能会加剧这一风险。英国央行的最新调查结果显示,约半数的首席财务官计划通过裁员来应对税收增加。然而,除非经济增长出现意外下滑(这并非主要预期),英国央行仍将重点放在控制通胀上。鉴于服务业通胀率维持在5%左右,预计在下周的英国央行会议上,政策制定者可能会保持利率不变,直至明年2月。

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