Trupanion (NASDAQ:TRUP) adds US$77m to market cap in the past 7 days, though investors from three years ago are still down 56%

Simply Wall St.
13 Dec 2024

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Trupanion, Inc. (NASDAQ:TRUP) share price has gained 13% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been disappointing. Regrettably, the share price slid 56% in that period. So it is really good to see an improvement. While many would remain nervous, there could be further gains if the business can put its best foot forward.

The recent uptick of 3.5% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

See our latest analysis for Trupanion

Trupanion wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

Over three years, Trupanion grew revenue at 21% per year. That is faster than most pre-profit companies. In contrast, the share price is down 16% compound, over three years - disappointing by most standards. It seems likely that the market is worried about the continual losses. When we see revenue growth, paired with a falling share price, we can't help wonder if there is an opportunity for those who are willing to dig deeper.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

NasdaqGM:TRUP Earnings and Revenue Growth December 13th 2024

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. If you are thinking of buying or selling Trupanion stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Trupanion shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 54% over one year. That's better than the annualised return of 8% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Trupanion better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Trupanion .

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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