【券商聚焦】摩根士丹利指11月前五大ODM笔记本电脑出货量符预期 料明年首季出货量高于历史季度水平

金吾财讯
16 Dec 2024

金吾财讯 | 摩根士丹利发研报指,11月,前五大原始设计制造商(ODM)的笔记本电脑(NB)出货量与该行的估计一致,为1030万台,环比增长2%,同比下降3.8%。该行维持对2024年第四季度NB出货量的估计为3120万台,即环比下降8%,同比增长3%。该行指,纬创、仁宝、英业达的11月出货量符预期,而广达的出货量比该行的预测高出3%,和硕的出货量则比该行的预测低7%。至于2025年第一季度,预计笔记本电脑出货量为2870万台,环比下降8%,同比持平。该行认为,由于第三季度和第四季度连续两个季度的出货量低于季节性水平,加上2025年第一季度将推出更多主流的x86架构AI PC型号,价格点更低,以及潜在关税前的紧急订单,因此料第一季度的出货量可能会高于历史季节性水平。

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