华晨中国(01114)早盘逆市上扬,股价上涨6.60%,现报3.39港元,成交额1.24亿港元。
此前,花旗发布研究报告称,由于中国汽车第四季需求强劲如预期,市场担忧包括至2025年首季度时销售量不及预期、以旧换新政策是否延期及价格战2025年上半年或再启动。花旗认为,投资者应根据2025年销售预期而不是当前订单动能进行定价。对以市销率估值股份,如投资者情绪变差,低于0.8倍的平均值将有一定的下行风险。
花旗表示,公司层面,更偏好比亚迪股份及华晨中国。对于比亚迪/吉利汽车/零跑汽车,基于目前的订单量轨迹,该行预期2024年底将有强劲的订单积压,可抵销2025年年初的汽车销售淡季,至2025年3月及第2季推出强劲车型前支撑估值。
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