美联储议息会议在即,市场普遍预计再次降息25个基点

Blockbeats
18 Dec 2024

BlockBeats 消息,12 月 18 日,北京时间周四凌晨 3 时,美联储将公布年内最后一次利率决议。根据期货合约,市场普遍预计美联储本周将把基准利率再次下调 25 个基点。此举将使联邦基金利率达到 4.25% 至 4.5% 的目标区间,比 9 月份开始降息时低了整整一个百分点。

纽约梅隆银行(BNY Mellon)首席经济学家、美联储货币事务部前主任文森特·莱因哈特(Vincent Reinhart)认为,“显然美联储陷入了困境。对于官员们来说,除非他们非常确定政治经济会发生哪些变化,否则他们无法真正改变自己的预测,以应对他们这些变化。在新闻发布会上,人们最关心的是跳过降息的想法。所以我认为,在这方面,这将是一次鹰派降息。(只有)随着(特朗普的)政策实际到位,美联储可能会进一步更新预测。”(金十)

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