荷兰国际:美联储明年可能会更加谨慎

美港电讯
19 Dec 2024

【荷兰国际:美联储明年可能会更加谨慎】金十数据12月19日讯,荷兰国际经济学家在一份报告中写道,美联储明年可能会变得更加谨慎。他们表示,考虑到粘性通货膨胀和特朗普的政策组合,证明2025年降息的合理性存在更高的障碍。他们指出,经济继续增长,而就业市场正在降温,但仍保持稳定,股市处于历史高位。他们补充说,尽管美联储不太可能在特朗普的关税和移民计划之前采取行动,但这些计划可能会推高通胀,而且预计美联储明年将发出一个更慢、更浅的降息周期的信号。他们补充说,特朗普的政策将“走多远、走多快”,以及就业市场降温的速度有多快,仍存在很大的不确定性。

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