内房股随市下行 中梁控股(02772)跌5.79% 机构预计12月成交仍将继续修复

金吾财讯
19 Dec 2024

金吾财讯 | 内房股随市下行,中梁控股(02772)跌5.79%,万科企业(02202)跌4.2%,金辉控股(09993)跌3.32%,中国金茂(00817)跌2.97%,中国海外发展(00688)、龙湖集团(00960)、华润置地(01109)跌逾1%。

太平洋证券发研指,11月全国商品房销售额和销售面积同比由负转正,购房者购房信心恢复,市场呈现回暖态势。房地产到位资金有所改善,12月份一般为房企年末冲刺业绩时期,其推盘力度有望加大,市场活跃度将继续保持。近期政治局会议、中央经济工作会议的召开释放积极信号,预计后续政府收购存量房、城中村改造等政策将加速推进,政策效果有待后续进一步观察,建议关注相关地方国企及开发商。

中银证券表示,当前行业大方向向好较为明确,10、11月销售基本面持续转好。该行认为,当前围绕楼市供需两端、经济复苏的政策仍在持续发力过程中,且住房交易税费降低新政12月开始执行,也可以在一定程度上巩固前期市场修复行情,叠加年底各开发商冲刺销售业绩,该行预计12月成交仍将继续修复。明年成交修复趋势能否进一步巩固,取决于房地产政策以及宏观财政政策对经济的影响。不过从12月政治局会议再度明确“稳楼市”主基调来看,中央对于“稳地产”的决心较为强烈,若前期政策效果减弱,需求端刺激有望及时介入、持续加码。

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