格隆汇12月19日｜大华银行经济学家Alvin Liew表示，日本央行还没有结束加息，但现在预计加息的时机将受到明年工资增长情况和特朗普政策明确性的影响。这意味着1月份加息的可能性虽然没有完全排除，但现在看来是一个低概率事件。虽然政策声明和行长植田和男的新闻发布会都没有给出前瞻性指导，但植田和男强调，日本2025年的工资上涨情况和特朗普的政策考虑是下一个决定的关键。大华银行预计日本央行将在3月加息25个基点至0.5%，该行认为这将是最终利率。但加息被推迟到4月或更晚时间的风险很大。

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