【中信证券：美股回调预计延续 但并非熊市的开启】金十数据12月20日讯，中信证券研报表示，隔夜美联储鹰派降息导致美股大跌，但2012年以来美股的熊市仅发生在美联储超预期收紧货币政策的背景下。11月25日以来美股“七巨头”贡献了标普500全部的上涨动能，反映投资者又回归到交易2025年基本面的逻辑。在乐观情绪已充分透支，美股流动性依旧在紧缩，且业绩空窗期的背景下，判断短期美股获利了结的回调行情将延续，防御属性较强的必选消费、公用事业和医疗保健行业预计相对跑赢。但中期来看，若美联储不超预期收紧货币政策，2025年美股整体的业绩增速预期预计同比加速，且逐步扩散至非科技行业，基本面维度尚不支持美股熊市开启的逻辑。
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