BlockBeats 消息，12 月 20 日，德意志银行发布一份关于本周 FOMC 会议的报告，报告指出，美联储会议强化了其基本观点，即 1 月会议上的跳过（降息）可能会在 2025 年变成延长的暂停（降息）。
德意志银行继续认为名义中性利率在 3.75% 左右，委员会有必要保持相对于该水平的限制性。因此，报告判断明年联邦基金利率可能保持在 4% 以上，基本情况是没有进一步降息。
报告还指出，一些美联储参与者已经开始将当选总统特朗普政策的潜在经济影响纳入他们的预测，这可能导致 2025 年和 2026 年的通胀预测更高。在劳动力市场方面，鲍威尔将其描述为稳固，但指出目前的就业创造水平低于维持稳定失业率所需的水平。（金十）
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