智通财经APP获悉,航空股逆势走高,截至发稿,中国国航(00753)涨4.03%,报5.16港元;南方航空(01055)涨4%,报4.16港元;东方航空(00670)涨2.33%,报2.63港元。
消息面上,截至12月15日,中国航空公司今年已完成旅客运输量突破7亿人次,达到70048万人次,日均旅客运输量超过200万人次,同比增长18.1%、较2019年增长10.7%,创中国民航发展历史新高。中银证券此前研报指出,2024年我国民航客运量有望突破7亿人次,超过疫情前航空出行规模,我国航空出行进入新周期阶段。展望2025年,随着国家陆续出台推动经济高质量发展的政策,我们认为航空出行需求有望稳步提升。
另外,上市航司近期相继披露11月运营数据,11月行业客座率环比下降约2.7个百分点,但高于19年同期1.6个百分点。申万宏源指出,航空在第四季度为常态性出行淡季,出行需求仍具韧性。目前航空板块供需基本面正处在向好阶段,国内需求稳定增长,国际需求持续恢复,长期供需差确定性较高,油汇目前均处于高位且有较大下行空间,在相对乐观或景气度向上的宏观环境下,顺周期标的航空板块有望受益,本轮周期行情有望启动。
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