港股异动 | 中资券商股午后快速拉升 机构称多重利好催化券商行情 明年板块有望迎来业绩估值双升

智通财经
17 Dec 2024

智通财经APP获悉,中资券商股午后快速拉升,截至发稿,国联证券(01456)涨4.09%,报4.84港元;招商证券(06099)涨2.96%,报16.02港元;光大证券(06178)涨1.1%,报8.24港元;申万宏源(06806)涨0.83%,报2.44港元。

国金证券指出,近期中央政治局会议和中央经济工作会议先后召开,积极的政策基调有望再次点燃市场情绪。我们认为在政策催化+流动性宽松(中央政治局会议提出适度宽松货币政策)+基本面改善(预计24年业绩实现正增、25年上半年再低基数下增长延续)等条件催化下,券商板块有望迎来跨年行情。

该行指出,24年前三季度市场行情整体下行,券商经营业绩承压明显,9/24以来,券商经纪业务受益于交易量的放大,自营业务受益于股市上涨,同时券商互换便利工具提升权益敞口,有助于提高权益市场向上对其利润的弹性。市场行情向好叠加业绩低基数,我们预计券商业绩将实现底部回升,24年业绩增速有望实现正增长,25年业绩有望实现双位数增长。此外,流动性宽松推动市场成交放量,2010年以来,每一轮货币宽松周期内券商板块均具有超额收益。

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