港股异动 | 黄金股集体回暖 美联储鹰派预期有所降温 美元指数走弱支撑金价反弹

智通财经
23 Dec 2024

智通财经APP获悉,黄金股集体回暖,截至发稿,招金矿业(01818)涨3.89%,报10.68港元;紫金矿业(02899)涨2.42%,报14.4港元;中国黄金国际(02099)涨2.56%,报38.05港元;山东黄金(01787)涨1.74%,报12.86港元。

消息面上,美国11月PCE和核心PCE数据全线低于预期,市场增加美联储明年3月降息的押注,美元指数回落、美债收益率全线走软,全球风险偏好整体升温。美元指数高位回落。在美元走弱的推动下,黄金展开反弹,周五美市盘中反弹至2630美元水平以上。

国金证券认为,短期内黄金价格存在震荡空间;中期来看,地缘政治延续波动,后续财政赤字及通胀预期、全球央行购金等因素有望推升金价表现。该行预计25年金价运行中枢有望攀升至2600-2700美元/盎司,特朗普上台,财政赤字率存在显著放大可能性,且再通胀或接踵而至,此两项核心因素叠加基于降息交易的SPDR持仓回流,伦敦现货黄金有望冲击3000美元。

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