金吾财讯 | 华泰证券发研报指,呷哺呷哺(00520)1H24录得收入24.03亿/yoy-15.92%;归母净利润-2.73亿,同比转亏,其中闭店相关减值亏损2.03亿。消费环境平淡,行业竞争加剧,致使公司经营承压。1H24呷哺呷哺/凑凑同店收入同比-19%/-43%。该行续指,面对挑战,公司积极深化经营和组织管理改革,收缩老旧门店规模的同时,通过优化运营模式、降低菜品价格、加强品牌视觉形象和扩展外卖业务等措施以应对需求变化。截至1H24,公司拥有餐厅1,072家,其中境外21家。公司历经外部环境波动和内部调整变革,若25年经营环境企稳,公司有望重回平稳发展轨道。立足长期,公司挖掘会员资产为后续复购提供了有力支撑,供应链建设等长期内功有所夯实,期待多品牌协同修整后的再成长。该行表示,参考1H24激烈竞争和平淡的品牌需求,该行预计公司调整尚需时日,预计24-26年公司归母净利润为-4.51亿元/-2.29亿元/249万元。公司历经外部环境波动和内部调整变革,利润端持续承压,实际改革成果仍有待验证,存在较高不确定性,给予折价。参考可比同业彭博一致预期的10倍25年EV/EBITDA均值,给予公司5X25年EV/EBITDA,调整目标价至1.32元港币(前值4.52元港币,对应可比公司23年Wind和彭博一致预期PE均值为28倍)。
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