根据新加坡经济发展委员会的数据,新加坡11月制造业产出同比增长8.5%,高于10月的1.2%。
大华银行估计,2024年新加坡工业生产将从2023年的制造业衰退中反弹,预计增长约4.0%。展望2025年,大华银行经济学家表示,新加坡2025年的工业生产前景仍然不明朗。
他们表示,特朗普政府采取的进一步保护主义措施、地缘政治紧张局势、电子产品出口周期可能达到顶峰以及全球主要央行货币政策放松的不确定性可能会带来下行风险。
他们补充说,尽管如此,在当前电子周期的上升推动下,包括制造业在内的贸易相关行业的增长势头应延续到2025年初,这是由于在特朗普提议对美国进口商品征收关税之前,出口和产量有所增加。
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