大和:江苏省2025年电价全面下降 目前电力行业中偏好火电

智通财经
27 Dec 2024

智通财经APP获悉,大和发布研究报告称,江苏省电力交易中心最新资料显示,该省2025年度整体电价每兆瓦时减少40元人民币,降幅8.9%,基本符合市场预期及大和的预测,相信今次电价全面下降对燃煤和水力发电企业影响可控。

大和预测,江苏省明年降电价将为煤企带来每兆瓦时9至15元人民币的点火价差(Dark Spread)收窄,部分已被较低的煤价所抵销,而对于水电预期会带来约1%至4%的盈利影响。

该行对中国电力行业维持中性看法,对长江电力(600900.SH)、华润电力(00836)及华能国际电力股份(00902)均给予“持有”评级,相信负面因素已反映在其股价表现上。另外由于仍然看淡可再生能源前景,因此大和对龙源电力(00916)维持“跑输大市”评级。目前电力行业,较偏好火电公司。

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