【今日LPG价格大幅上涨,或受这些因素推动!】金十期货特约新湖期货点评:今天PG2502合约上涨202元/吨,涨幅4.6%。除了美国寒潮的突发利好因素外,也跟仓单较少有关。当前PG基差偏高,厂库注册仓单的意愿较低,因此基差有向下修复需求,PG2502上涨。昨日美国国家气象局预计未来两周,美国东部和中西部出现严寒天气的可能性很高,取暖和发电需求增加,此外,部分天然气井口可能被冻结,美国天然气期货大涨。美国LPG产量主要来自于天然气加工厂和油田伴生气,若寒潮波及原油和天然气产量,LPG产量也将下降。需求端,月底国内有三套PDH装置计划开车,化工需求预期增加。FEI-CP价差开始收窄,说明远东地区基本面改善。考虑到美国LPG库存较高,丙烷价格对寒潮反应或不及2021年强烈,后期美国LPG产量下降程度有待证实。今天沙特即将公布1月CP官价,市场预期小幅下跌,进口成本支撑减弱。待仓单增加后,盘面上行空间不大。
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