【券商聚焦】国联证券维持雅迪控股(01585)“买入”评级 指今年经营压力较大 料明年修复弹性突出

金吾财讯
31 Dec 2024

金吾财讯 | 国联证券发研报指,2024 年因新国标调整、行业严监管、渠道去库存等因素拖累,雅迪控股(01585)销量大幅下滑,且为维稳渠道,公司适当降低出货均价、增加费用投入,致使利润大幅承压。展望后续,随着以旧换新政策、新国标切换等落地,行业需求提振且格局集中趋势确定,公司经营修复可期且弹性可观;短期经营波动不改公司龙头地位及实力,中期盈利能力提升&海外收入快速增长,仍能保障经营稳健增长,建议积极关注公司底部投资价值。 该行指,考虑到2024年经营压力较大,公司收入及业绩下滑明显;而基数转低、行业销量增长确定及格局集中背景下,预计2025年经营修复弹性突出,该行预计公司2024-2026年营收同比分别-16%/+36%/+10%至292/398/440亿;归母净利润同比分别 -49%/+110%/+20%至13/28/34亿;对应当前估值为28/13/11X,维持“买入”评级。

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