【券商聚焦】瑞银维持奈飞(NFLX)“买入”评级 指其圣诞节收视佳 未来前景可期

金吾财讯
31 Dec 2024

金吾财讯 | 瑞银发研报指出,奈飞(NFLX)在体育赛事直播领域取得显著进展,其NFL圣诞日比赛在美国吸引了约2400万P2+平均观众,虽略低于传统广播电视台,但已超越PrimeVideo等竞争对手。这得益于奈飞庞大的全球订阅用户基础(超2.8亿,美国约8000万),为其获取更多体育赛事版权奠定了坚实基础,有望推动未来价格上涨与广告业务拓展。瑞银认为奈飞所处的流媒体行业竞争激烈,但凭借其独特的内容优势与不断拓展的业务领域,如体育赛事直播,正逐步提升市场竞争力。同时,随着全球数字化娱乐需求的持续增长,行业整体仍具有较大发展潜力,但也面临着内容成本上升、用户获取与留存挑战等问题,奈飞需不断创新与优化策略以应对行业动态变化。瑞银对奈飞未来盈利能力与市场表现的充满信心,认为其在内容创新、用户增长及业务多元化等方面的努力将助力公司实现价值提升,在流媒体市场占据更有利地位。瑞银预计奈飞2024年至2028年营收将持续增长,2024年预计营收389.02亿美元,2025年为439.37亿美元,2026年达493.51亿美元,基于26x/34x预期EBITDA/FCF的估值模型,给予奈飞1040美元的目标价,并维持“买入”评级。

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