中金公司:生物医药稳健红利基本盘 关注创新与出海

美港电讯
31 Dec 2024

【中金公司:生物医药稳健红利基本盘 关注创新与出海】金十数据12月31日讯,金公司研报称,红利基本盘,流通与中药相对稳健。医药流通:目前医改对流通行业影响已逐渐减轻,医药流通抗风险能力强,龙头有望强者恒强,近年来医药流通公司积极转型,高毛利业务发展顺利,流通公司业务结构有望持续优化;品牌中药:中药公司普遍现金流较好,具有较好分红能力,同时我们也开始观察到部分龙头中药公司已开始具备行业收购和整合能力。创新药及供应链:政策利好,股价与业绩脱敏。创新药及其供应链符合制药工业体系产业升级发展趋势,而板块定价锚不在当期业绩、而在远期市场潜力和药品临床数据事件催化的特点,也使得创新药在行业整顿/医保控费较严格的窗口期具备比较优势;同时内需型CXO也有望受益于下一轮产业周期。医疗器械:产品升级与海外出口,发掘外需潜力。尽管受医疗行业整顿持续、设备招采进展缓慢、IVD和高耗集采等因素的影响,医疗器械上市公司近几个季度有一定业绩扰动,但我们也观察到这些因素的边际影响在逐步减弱或修复改善,建议今年四季度开始关注医疗器械板块,2025年细分赛道或有望受益于产品升级与海外出口。

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