海信家电(00921)早盘上涨7.39%,现报26.90港元,成交额7937.40万港元。
国泰君安研报指出,预计四季度国补政策带动海信家电(000921.SZ)零售显著好转,但渠道优先消化库存,公司出货口径增幅低于零售端。同时央空业务受政策拉动幅度较弱,仍有下滑压力,预计内销业务扭转Q3下滑态势,同比+0~5%;出口端海外需求稳定,预计公司Q4海外收入+15~20%。考虑到以旧换新拉动零售,消化库存,公司实际出货表现或低于零售端增幅以及长效激励费用计提,因此下调公司24Q4以及小幅下调2025~26年盈利预测。参考白电可比公司估值,二线龙头盈利提升期,增长弹性更强,给予一定溢价,维持目标价42元,维持“增持”评级。
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