金吾财讯 | 华泰证券发研报指,阿里影业(01060)是围绕文娱行业的全产业链娱乐平台,收购大麦为公司构建新的增长极,电影票务平台构建业绩基础,电影投资业务有望带来营收弹性。该行指,公司收购大麦构建新增长极,IP衍生品业务发展良好;电影票务与科技平台构建行业基础设施,提供业绩基本盘。该行续指,市场观点认为,公司营收成长性不足,但该行认为公司未来成长性较好,其中主要增量将体现在:1)电影投资制作贡献弹性营收;2)大麦和IP衍生品业务营收和利润有望继续保持较高增长。该行预计公司FY25-27归母净利润6.31/8.02/9.84亿元,可比公司25年平均PE为24X,总体上猫眼娱乐与公司业务链条更为接近,估值应更多以猫眼娱乐为参考,并考虑公司电影项目储备较多及大麦并购后的新业绩增长点,给予公司FY26(主要对应可比公司25年自然年)20X估值,对应目标价0.6元/0.65港元,首次覆盖给予“买入”评级。
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