【随着下游开工率回落，橡胶期价高位难以保持】金十期货1月7日讯，1月7日橡胶期货继续保持低迷走势，主力合约在近两周保持连续回落的态势，春节前随着下游开工率回落，橡胶期价高位难以保持。当前上游季节性停割陆续在各大产胶区出现，云南产区全面停割，海南产区逐渐进入停割期，但泰国由于天气恢复正常，原料供给价格表现也未出现十分“坚挺”，供给侧支撑减弱。青岛港口累库速度较快。下游需求淡季表现明显，部分橡胶轮胎企业有提前放假预期。总体来看，短期天然橡胶或延续偏弱震荡走势。合成橡胶方面，受丁二烯流通现货偏紧且价格持续冲高影响，顺丁橡胶生产亏损严重，华北部分民营企业存在成本性停车及降负，产能利用率表现显著走低。产区天气逐步正常同时橡胶轮胎消费进入季节性淡季，橡胶价格难以避免出现回落。维持短空长多思路看待。
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